Going Deeper 📊
You know what a stock is and how markets work. Now let's learn how to actually evaluate companies, read charts, and build a real portfolio.
Fundamental Analysis
Read the actual numbers a company publishes — profit, debt, cash flow — and judge if it's healthy.
Technical Analysis
Use price charts and patterns to spot trends and find better moments to buy or sell.
Portfolio Thinking
Stop thinking about individual stocks and start thinking about your whole portfolio as a system.
Reading the Numbers
Before buying any stock, you should be able to answer: is this company actually healthy?
The 5 Numbers That Matter Most
Putting It Together: A Simple Checklist
- 1
Is revenue growing year-on-year?
Check the last 3–5 years. Consistent growth = healthy. Flat or falling = warning sign.
- 2
Is the P/E reasonable for this industry?
Compare it to 2–3 similar companies. Don't compare a tech stock's P/E to a bank's — they're different worlds.
- 3
Is debt under control?
Check the D/E ratio. Also check if they can comfortably pay interest from their profits (interest coverage ratio > 3x).
- 4
Is free cash flow positive?
This is the real acid test. Profit can be manipulated by accounting. Cash flow is much harder to fake.
- 5
Does the company have a competitive advantage?
Buffett calls this a "moat." What stops competitors from just copying them? Brand, patents, network effects, switching costs?
Technical Analysis
Fundamental analysis tells you what to buy. Technical analysis helps you decide when to buy it.
Moving Averages 📉📈
Golden Cross
50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA. Signals potential uptrend ahead. Many investors see this as a buy signal.
Death Cross
50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA. Signals potential downtrend. Often a warning to be cautious.
Support & Resistance 🏗️
Support Level
A price floor where the stock tends to stop falling and bounce back up. Buyers consistently step in at this level. A good potential entry point.
Resistance Level
A price ceiling where the stock tends to stop rising and fall back. Sellers consistently step in. If price breaks through resistance, it often surges.
RSI — Relative Strength Index 🌡️
The marker above shows RSI at ~72 — the stock is in overbought territory, meaning it may have risen too fast and a pullback is possible.
RSI below 30
Oversold. The stock may have fallen too fast. Could be a buying opportunity — or a sign of serious problems. Investigate why.
RSI 30–70
Neutral zone. Normal trading range. No extreme signal either way.
RSI above 70
Overbought. The stock may have risen too fast. Could signal a pullback coming. Be cautious about buying at these levels.
Building a Real Portfolio
Stop thinking about individual stocks. Start thinking about your portfolio as a whole system.
Asset Allocation — The Big Decision
Example: A moderate-growth portfolio for a young investor
Diversification — Don't Put Eggs in One Basket
Across Geographies
Own stocks from different countries. If the US market dips, your European or Asian holdings might hold steady.
Across Sectors
Own tech, healthcare, consumer goods, finance, energy. If one sector crashes, others may survive or even rise.
Across Time
Don't invest everything at once. Use dollar-cost averaging to spread your entry points over months.
Position Sizing — How Much Per Stock?
Rebalancing — Keeping Your Ratios in Check
- 1
Set your target allocation
e.g. 70% stocks, 20% bonds, 10% cash.
- 2
Check it every 3–6 months
If stocks have done very well, they might now be 85% of your portfolio — more risk than you intended.
- 3
Rebalance by selling what grew too much, buying what shrank
This enforces "sell high, buy low" automatically — one of the smartest habits in investing.
ETFs — Deep Dive
You know what an ETF is. Now let's understand the different types and how to choose between them.
Types of ETFs
Broad Market ETFs
Track a wide index like the S&P 500 (VOO, SPY) or the entire world market (VT). Best for passive, long-term investing. Very low fees.
Sector ETFs
Focus on one industry — tech (QQQ), healthcare (XLV), energy (XLE). Higher potential reward but less diversified than broad ETFs.
Dividend ETFs
Holds stocks that pay regular dividends. Good for generating income while holding. Examples: VYM, SCHD.
Bond ETFs
Hold government or corporate bonds. More stable than stocks but lower returns. Good for balancing a portfolio (e.g. BND, AGG).
ETF vs Individual Stocks — When to Use Which
| ETF | Individual Stock | |
|---|---|---|
| Diversification | Built-in — hundreds of companies | None — single company risk |
| Research needed | Minimal — just understand the index | Deep — financials, news, sector |
| Upside potential | Market average (~10%/yr) | Can massively outperform |
| Downside risk | Cushioned by diversification | Can lose 50–100% of value |
| Fees (expense ratio) | Very low (0.03–0.2%) | Zero (just trading fees) |
| Best for | Most people, most of the time | Experienced investors with edge |
The Expense Ratio — What It Actually Costs You
Example: £10,000 invested for 30 years at 10% return:
— With 0.03% fee (VOO): £171,800
— With 1.00% fee (active fund): £132,700
That 1% difference costs you £39,000 over 30 years. Always check the expense ratio before buying.
Tax & The Real Cost of Trading
Every return you see quoted is before tax. Understanding this protects your actual profits.
Capital Gains Tax — What You Owe When You Sell
Tax-Loss Harvesting
Example: You made £2,000 profit on Apple. You're also sitting on a £500 loss on another stock. Sell the loser → your taxable gain drops to £1,500. You've effectively saved money by locking in a loss strategically.
Hidden Costs That Eat Your Returns
Trading Fees
Some brokers charge per trade. £5 to buy + £5 to sell on a £200 position = 5% gone before the market even moves.
Bid-Ask Spread
The gap between buy and sell price. On liquid stocks it's tiny. On illiquid stocks you can lose 1–2% just by trading.
Over-Trading
Every time you trade, friction accumulates. Studies show that most active traders underperform buy-and-hold over 10+ years.
Your Investment Plan
Tactics without a strategy is just noise. Build a plan and stick to it.
Build Your Investment Policy Statement (IPS)
Professional fund managers use an IPS to guide every decision. You can have a simple personal version.
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1
Define your goal
What is this money for? University fund, first house deposit, retirement? Your goal determines your time horizon and risk tolerance.
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2
Set your time horizon
Money you need in 1–2 years → keep it safe (cash, bonds). Money you won't touch for 10+ years → can take more risk (stocks, ETFs).
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3
Define your risk tolerance
Ask yourself: if my portfolio dropped 30% tomorrow, what would I do? If the answer is "panic-sell," you're taking too much risk.
-
4
Set your target allocation
Write it down. Example: 70% global ETF, 20% bond ETF, 10% individual stocks I've researched. Stick to it.
-
5
Decide your review cadence
Check your portfolio quarterly — not daily. Rebalance if any allocation drifts more than 5–10% from your target.
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6
Write the rules you'll follow in a crash
e.g. "If my portfolio drops 20%, I will not sell. I will continue my monthly contributions." Writing this in advance removes emotion from the decision.